Description

This analysis provides a forecast of RUNE prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-10-12 0.584552 0.752031 0.941210 1.168183 1.430567 1.721926 2.067454
2025-10-19 0.332904 0.530898 0.785780 1.126219 1.557409 2.074361 2.729693
2025-10-26 0.189427 0.384163 0.671483 1.096023 1.677984 2.420324 3.410620
2025-11-02 0.112164 0.294833 0.603673 1.103619 1.835993 2.817313 4.178132
2025-11-09 0.058745 0.213824 0.520262 1.065475 1.917091 3.111047 4.824653
2025-11-16 0.035837 0.177821 0.498687 1.113401 2.120089 3.577407 5.719013
2025-11-23 0.018596 0.138755 0.456637 1.115965 2.248984 3.941710 6.486377
2025-11-30 0.011488 0.123095 0.457119 1.190809 2.494177 4.482960 7.517618
2025-12-07 0.006106 0.104724 0.444215 1.236495 2.692277 4.960721 8.472994
2025-12-14 0.002535 0.084830 0.418911 1.251891 2.837607 5.362165 9.328924
2025-12-21 0.000623 0.064014 0.380327 1.231449 2.916149 5.660924 10.041336
2025-12-28 0.000116 0.052399 0.363896 1.254642 3.071249 6.082516 10.943723
2026-01-04 0.000002 0.041004 0.342169 1.263718 3.204320 6.480037 11.831521
2026-01-11 NaN 0.028116 0.303578 1.224404 3.242617 6.725610 12.497830
2026-01-18 NaN 0.019071 0.272025 1.194899 3.295330 6.994768 13.205803
2026-01-25 NaN 0.014134 0.256490 1.204239 3.424108 7.393712 14.122358
2026-02-01 NaN 0.008574 0.226203 1.164333 3.448259 7.614957 14.766190
2026-02-08 NaN 0.007126 0.226621 1.215611 3.664559 8.171071 15.946799
2026-02-15 NaN 0.004793 0.212504 1.218503 3.777642 8.551122 16.855988
2026-02-22 NaN 0.004450 0.221579 1.298092 4.060125 9.233990 18.258724
2026-03-01 NaN 0.003582 0.221380 1.346625 4.276861 9.806153 19.493733
2026-03-08 NaN 0.002438 0.212291 1.362981 4.423066 10.256874 20.541266
2026-03-15 NaN 0.001271 0.193739 1.341306 4.482000 10.552784 21.343625